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Varileks Cattle Call
6-27-25
The cattle futures had a
sharp rally Friday after a 2-week break from
record highs. It really did not have alarming reasons to drop other
than oversold conditions. Cash has been on the break after packers
did a major inventory push a few weeks prior.
The south traded live cattle
in a range of $222-225 with the north at
$230-233.50. Country sales were spotty with a more aggressive
attitude from producers. These prices are still big historically, and
cattlemen understand that. It is ok to miss the high with the large
amount of profit turning per head. Keep selling. The basis is
outstanding, and I had my doubts that we would make money on this
turn of cattle.
The cattle on feed report
did not yield much movement for prices.
Tight numbers are still here, but growth is on the horizon. If we step
into a growth pattern and the Mexican border=0 class="yourclass" opens, we could see
more risk lower. Packers that want the leverage back are getting
closer in my opinion. There is plenty to worry about as always, but it
feels good to be making money doing what we love. Have a good
week.
Kooima Kooima Varilek Trading
The risk of loss when trading
futures and options is substantial. Each
investor must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past
performance is not indicative of future results.
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