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H E D
G E S T R A T E G I E S
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With the introduction
of agriculture options on futures in the 1980's, producers have many hedging strategies at their
disposal. As volatility has increased in recent years in many commodity markets, utilizing options
might be a good
alternative to simply hedging with futures.
The following charts
display a range of underlying prices from left to right. The effective hedge value at each underlying
price is displayed vertically with the scale at the right side of the chart. No commissions or
fees are included. No basis is
included. Hedges are calculated on a 1:1 ratio. All premium values are calculated at expiration.
For a printer friendly
version,
C L I C K H E R E
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NET RESULT WITHOUT
ANY HEDGE
For reference, we have included
this chart to show the result
of not hedging. As the underlying cash price increases in
value, the effective result increases also. Likewise, as the
underlying cash price decreases in value, the effective result
decreases. This line is included in all of the following charts
as a reference against the various strategies.
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NET RESULT OF SELLING
FUTURES
Selling futures effectively locks
in a price. Whether the
underlying price increases or decreases the result of this
strategy will remain constant. This strategy allows for a
precise hedge and is best suited for less volatile markets.
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NET RESULT OF BUYING
A PUT
With the purchase of a put, you
get the benefit of downside
protection along with upside potential. As the underlying
cash market increases in price, the loss from the put is
limited to the premium paid. As the market decreases in
price, the value of the put will increase depending on the
selected strike price. This strategy is best suited for more
volatile markets.
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NET RESULT OF SELLING
FUTURES + BUYING A CALL
This strategy yields the same effect
of buying a put. The
strike price selected for the call determines the level of upside
potential. As the market increases in value, the call premium
will increase in value, offsetting the equity loss from the short
futures position. This strategy is best suited for more volatile
markets.
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NET RESULT OF BUYING
A PUT + SELLING A CALL
This strategy effectively creates
a window of risk and reward.
The reason for selecting this strategy is to reduce the net
premium paid. The strike prices selected determine the
effect of the hedge. This strategy is best suited for markets
with moderate volatility.
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DISCLAIMER: This information is not to be construed as an
offer to sell or a solicitation or an offer to buy the commodities herein named.
The factual information of this report has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is
not necessarily all-inclusive and is not
guaranteed as to the accuracy, and is not to be construed as representation by our firm.
Past performance is
not indicative of future results.
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