Varileks Cattle Call
5 - 23 - 25
Another week of recovery
felt good in the cattle futures after the two-
day smash the previous week. Cash was king. We have been able
to rely on that for quite some time, and it felt good. Live prices set
another record with some $230-231 live in the north. It wasnt as
wide spread trade, but one major participated alongside a few
regionals.
In other news, the Mexican
border is still on the front. The border
may be shut for a longer period of time than first anticipated. The
screwworm issue is not under control in Mexico, and the United
States is halting all cattle from coming across. Last week the news
had a feel that it could be an extended period of time before it opens.
It was rumored from month to month or even the end of the year.
That will add a boost to American feeders that already hold a tight
supply. The southern placements are lower year to date and could
still struggle to pick up the pace. That is always a question whether a
packer will close a plant or not. I have to believe this will put further
strain on southern plants.
The government is finally
trying to stop the subsidy capture that the
market has become accustomed to when using LRP. It is a great
move to start some language that it will be illegal to start the new
crop year. LRP is not designed for producers to just capture some
taxpayer subsidy to help add money to their bottom line. I hope you
all had a blessed Memorial Day, and have a good week.
Kooima Kooima Varilek Trading
The risk of loss when trading
futures and options is substantial. Each
investor must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past
performance is not indicative of future results.
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